The Turning Of The Tide
We are sort of busy today which is why it's taken either of us so long before we started today. And I'm about to do something I rarely do. All of our regular readers know that we read blogs. It's where we get 90% of our information; the MSM remains in our world as a bongo drum for us to beat. But, I rarely cite another blogger entirely. Today is one of those rare occasions where I feel it's a necessity. Hugh Hewitt has a positively brilliant post up, and I think that every conservative should read this:
Angry conservatives are driving the approval ratings of President Bush and the GOP-led Congress to dismal new lows, according to an AP-Ipsos poll that underscores why Republicans fear an Election Day massacre.
Six months out, the intensity of opposition to Bush and Congress has risen sharply, along with the percentage of Americans who believe the nation is on the wrong track.
The AP-Ipsos poll also suggests that Democratic voters are far more motivated than Republicans. Elections in the middle of a president's term traditionally favor the party whose core supporters are the most energized.
MSM is, once again, about three months behind the curve. The prospects of the GOP Painting the Map Red have increased dramatically in just the past month.
After the Alito hearings and confirmation, prior to the resolution of the impasse over the selection of the prime minister in Iraq, during the run-up to and immediate aftermath of the election of the new House majority leader, and right through the first immigration debate in the Senate over McCain-Kennedy, there was in fact a moment or two when it seemed like the GOP base might just quit the game.
But with the rejection of the immigration approach favored by the Democrats and the mavericks, the appearance of some fiscal discipline among some senators, the slow but certain march towards the confirmation of future Judges Kavanaugh, Boyle, Haynes etc, the word that the White House will be back in the judicial nominations business very soon, and --most of all-- the return of the war to the public's consciousness because of Iran's manifest aggressiveness on nukes and Israel and undeniable threats in Central and South America, suddenly the election if framed --again--- as a choice between the serious though flawed party of victory, growth, and border security and the party of surrender, to both the jihadists abroad and the demands for amnesty now and again in the future at home.
There are undeniable signs of GOP renewal, in Senate races in Minnesota, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Ohio, Washington State, Montana and Missouri --and perhaps next week in Florida-- as well as great candidates for governor in Blackwell in Ohio and Swann in Pennsyvlania. As Michael Barone has argued, the GOP voters just seem to keep turning out, despite their grumbling.
Bill Kristol has argued that 9/11 may have changed American politics far more than we know, and I suspect the president's poll numbers --to the extent they are accurate-- reflect not dismay with the war, but dismay with the Administration's occasional appearance of placing priority on other than the war. Telling the American people that there is no substitute for victory in Iraq and firmness with Iran even to the point of confrontation is exactly the reassurance that serious people need. The president has been doing this for months, but he and his Adminsitration have beeen helped in recent weeks by the appearnce of the left's venom and its effects on the Democratic leadership. The party is truly unhinged, and a voite for any Democrat will be a vote for defeat, and not just in Iraq.
Suddenly, the debate is back where it ought to be, on the war, judges, taxes, spending and also border security. The 12 words have begun 15:
Win the war.
Confirm the judges.
Cut the taxes.
Control the spending.
Secure the border.
Democrats stand for the opposite of each proposition.
As Larry Kudlow reported on last night's show after his interview with the president, President Bush is ready for the campaign:
HH: Now Larry Kudlow, there's always a story behind the story as well, which has to do with temperament, how he looks, how it feels. How's the President feel to you? Energized or worn down?
LK: I have never seen him better, Hugh, and I've known him for over 20 years. In fact, he and I used to room together at a golf outing in California for a couple of years. This goes back to the middle 80's. And he was relaxed, he was calm, he was optimistic. When I challenged him during this interview, he was more than happy to come back to me and defend his positions. He looked well rested. I mean, I was very, very impressed. I've had a bunch of phone calls that people said they've never seen him look better. The interesting thing was after the cameras went down, he stayed with me for another 25 minutes in the same chair. And we start taking back and forth. He wants to talk. And we're talking about goofy Republicans in the Senate, and how they're departing from first principles. We talked about the war, which he thinks we are winning. We talked about the economy and the tax cut strategy. I mean, he just stayed there and talked when the cameras were off. It was absolutely fascinating. Absolutely fascinating.
The economy is cooking. The government in Iraq is forming. The battle over the judges has begun again. The tax cuts will get to the president's desk soon. And the immigration debate seemws to have settled on this center-right proposition (long advocated here and in my new book): Fence first. Regularization after the fence is finished.
And just in case the social conservatives were feeling left out (despite two incredible SCOTUS appointments) the Senate Democrats have decided to force a fight over judges just as the California Democrats --the leading edge of the left's cultural revolution-- have decided that the problem with public education is that it doesn't spend enough time teaching first graders (and all students) about gays and lesbians. (More on SB 1437 Monday, which will quickly become a national story, and which Arnold will have to veto.)
So the corner has been turned.
Celebrate with $10 or $20 contributions to:
Mark Kennedy in Minnesota
Michael Steele in Maryland
Rick Santorum in Pennsylvannia
Lynn Swann in Pennsylvannia
Ken Blackwell in Ohio.
These are the five races where the national political news will be made in November, and where your dollars can help to immediately equip the GOP to stay on the offensive. There is Republican momentum in each race, and although others may join these five campaigns as central to the story of 2006 (watch Florida) here's where you can make an impact immediately.
I am putting out the call to ALL conservatives out there. Don't lose hope, get back in the game, and let's win the next round. I jknow that plenty of conservatives are grousing about the antics of a few, but we can't touch the key ones yet because their chance at being reelected hasn't arrived. The GOP has already felt the initial wrath of the base in Captain Ed's Not. One. Dime. campaign; solely designed to ensure our money is put in the pockets of those candidates that deserve it, rather than dolts like Chafee, Snowe, and other moderates that enjoy being more media darlings than party people.
And that's what 2006 and 2008 will be about. The base must look to people who are "party men." Those would be people who put the party above their own petty interests (Too bad John McCain can't figure this out, but I guess he's too busy kissing the "green room" mirrors); those interests don't serve us. They don't reflect the base's intentions in rolling back the insanity put in place by the Democrats.
They don't serve our war efforts. They don't work at making our borders more secure. They are anything but solid when it comes to judicial nominees. And it's glaringly obvious that the idea of balancing a budget is like kryptonite to these people. The base sees this, and they're incensed. But as Hugh pointed out the excellent analysis by Michael Barone, the base continues to turn out. Despite the doomsayers, despite the moderates that love to run off the reservation at the drop of a hat, and despite the president's poll numbers the base will turn out. With the bold moves made recently by those in the Senate and the House by the GOP, the base is now breathing a bit easier.
But the fight is far from over. The war is still ongoing, and this is not the time for the "militia" to cut-and-run when we start to deal with the Democrat's front-line troops. This is no different than the famous moment in the end of The Patriot when, as the British troops were advancing, Gibson's militia lines started to break. He refused to let them run, took up a fallen flag, and led his militia into the advancing British.
In Ohio, the Democrats just met that militia in the GOP base that refused to stay home when the votes counted. As it stands right now, with the up-and-comers entering their respective races this year, it will fall to the bloggers to pick up the flag, and lead the vanguard. And we can do it. We helped do it in 2004, and we can make a much bigger impact this time around. BUT the base must be there, and they can't go to the polls with the ideas that nothing they do can help change things.
They can. They will. WE WILL TOGETHER, and we will win in 2006.
Stay the course.
Hold the lines.
And let's give the Democrats a show they'll not soon forget this year.
Publius II
We are sort of busy today which is why it's taken either of us so long before we started today. And I'm about to do something I rarely do. All of our regular readers know that we read blogs. It's where we get 90% of our information; the MSM remains in our world as a bongo drum for us to beat. But, I rarely cite another blogger entirely. Today is one of those rare occasions where I feel it's a necessity. Hugh Hewitt has a positively brilliant post up, and I think that every conservative should read this:
Angry conservatives are driving the approval ratings of President Bush and the GOP-led Congress to dismal new lows, according to an AP-Ipsos poll that underscores why Republicans fear an Election Day massacre.
Six months out, the intensity of opposition to Bush and Congress has risen sharply, along with the percentage of Americans who believe the nation is on the wrong track.
The AP-Ipsos poll also suggests that Democratic voters are far more motivated than Republicans. Elections in the middle of a president's term traditionally favor the party whose core supporters are the most energized.
MSM is, once again, about three months behind the curve. The prospects of the GOP Painting the Map Red have increased dramatically in just the past month.
After the Alito hearings and confirmation, prior to the resolution of the impasse over the selection of the prime minister in Iraq, during the run-up to and immediate aftermath of the election of the new House majority leader, and right through the first immigration debate in the Senate over McCain-Kennedy, there was in fact a moment or two when it seemed like the GOP base might just quit the game.
But with the rejection of the immigration approach favored by the Democrats and the mavericks, the appearance of some fiscal discipline among some senators, the slow but certain march towards the confirmation of future Judges Kavanaugh, Boyle, Haynes etc, the word that the White House will be back in the judicial nominations business very soon, and --most of all-- the return of the war to the public's consciousness because of Iran's manifest aggressiveness on nukes and Israel and undeniable threats in Central and South America, suddenly the election if framed --again--- as a choice between the serious though flawed party of victory, growth, and border security and the party of surrender, to both the jihadists abroad and the demands for amnesty now and again in the future at home.
There are undeniable signs of GOP renewal, in Senate races in Minnesota, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Ohio, Washington State, Montana and Missouri --and perhaps next week in Florida-- as well as great candidates for governor in Blackwell in Ohio and Swann in Pennsyvlania. As Michael Barone has argued, the GOP voters just seem to keep turning out, despite their grumbling.
Bill Kristol has argued that 9/11 may have changed American politics far more than we know, and I suspect the president's poll numbers --to the extent they are accurate-- reflect not dismay with the war, but dismay with the Administration's occasional appearance of placing priority on other than the war. Telling the American people that there is no substitute for victory in Iraq and firmness with Iran even to the point of confrontation is exactly the reassurance that serious people need. The president has been doing this for months, but he and his Adminsitration have beeen helped in recent weeks by the appearnce of the left's venom and its effects on the Democratic leadership. The party is truly unhinged, and a voite for any Democrat will be a vote for defeat, and not just in Iraq.
Suddenly, the debate is back where it ought to be, on the war, judges, taxes, spending and also border security. The 12 words have begun 15:
Win the war.
Confirm the judges.
Cut the taxes.
Control the spending.
Secure the border.
Democrats stand for the opposite of each proposition.
As Larry Kudlow reported on last night's show after his interview with the president, President Bush is ready for the campaign:
HH: Now Larry Kudlow, there's always a story behind the story as well, which has to do with temperament, how he looks, how it feels. How's the President feel to you? Energized or worn down?
LK: I have never seen him better, Hugh, and I've known him for over 20 years. In fact, he and I used to room together at a golf outing in California for a couple of years. This goes back to the middle 80's. And he was relaxed, he was calm, he was optimistic. When I challenged him during this interview, he was more than happy to come back to me and defend his positions. He looked well rested. I mean, I was very, very impressed. I've had a bunch of phone calls that people said they've never seen him look better. The interesting thing was after the cameras went down, he stayed with me for another 25 minutes in the same chair. And we start taking back and forth. He wants to talk. And we're talking about goofy Republicans in the Senate, and how they're departing from first principles. We talked about the war, which he thinks we are winning. We talked about the economy and the tax cut strategy. I mean, he just stayed there and talked when the cameras were off. It was absolutely fascinating. Absolutely fascinating.
The economy is cooking. The government in Iraq is forming. The battle over the judges has begun again. The tax cuts will get to the president's desk soon. And the immigration debate seemws to have settled on this center-right proposition (long advocated here and in my new book): Fence first. Regularization after the fence is finished.
And just in case the social conservatives were feeling left out (despite two incredible SCOTUS appointments) the Senate Democrats have decided to force a fight over judges just as the California Democrats --the leading edge of the left's cultural revolution-- have decided that the problem with public education is that it doesn't spend enough time teaching first graders (and all students) about gays and lesbians. (More on SB 1437 Monday, which will quickly become a national story, and which Arnold will have to veto.)
So the corner has been turned.
Celebrate with $10 or $20 contributions to:
Mark Kennedy in Minnesota
Michael Steele in Maryland
Rick Santorum in Pennsylvannia
Lynn Swann in Pennsylvannia
Ken Blackwell in Ohio.
These are the five races where the national political news will be made in November, and where your dollars can help to immediately equip the GOP to stay on the offensive. There is Republican momentum in each race, and although others may join these five campaigns as central to the story of 2006 (watch Florida) here's where you can make an impact immediately.
I am putting out the call to ALL conservatives out there. Don't lose hope, get back in the game, and let's win the next round. I jknow that plenty of conservatives are grousing about the antics of a few, but we can't touch the key ones yet because their chance at being reelected hasn't arrived. The GOP has already felt the initial wrath of the base in Captain Ed's Not. One. Dime. campaign; solely designed to ensure our money is put in the pockets of those candidates that deserve it, rather than dolts like Chafee, Snowe, and other moderates that enjoy being more media darlings than party people.
And that's what 2006 and 2008 will be about. The base must look to people who are "party men." Those would be people who put the party above their own petty interests (Too bad John McCain can't figure this out, but I guess he's too busy kissing the "green room" mirrors); those interests don't serve us. They don't reflect the base's intentions in rolling back the insanity put in place by the Democrats.
They don't serve our war efforts. They don't work at making our borders more secure. They are anything but solid when it comes to judicial nominees. And it's glaringly obvious that the idea of balancing a budget is like kryptonite to these people. The base sees this, and they're incensed. But as Hugh pointed out the excellent analysis by Michael Barone, the base continues to turn out. Despite the doomsayers, despite the moderates that love to run off the reservation at the drop of a hat, and despite the president's poll numbers the base will turn out. With the bold moves made recently by those in the Senate and the House by the GOP, the base is now breathing a bit easier.
But the fight is far from over. The war is still ongoing, and this is not the time for the "militia" to cut-and-run when we start to deal with the Democrat's front-line troops. This is no different than the famous moment in the end of The Patriot when, as the British troops were advancing, Gibson's militia lines started to break. He refused to let them run, took up a fallen flag, and led his militia into the advancing British.
In Ohio, the Democrats just met that militia in the GOP base that refused to stay home when the votes counted. As it stands right now, with the up-and-comers entering their respective races this year, it will fall to the bloggers to pick up the flag, and lead the vanguard. And we can do it. We helped do it in 2004, and we can make a much bigger impact this time around. BUT the base must be there, and they can't go to the polls with the ideas that nothing they do can help change things.
They can. They will. WE WILL TOGETHER, and we will win in 2006.
Stay the course.
Hold the lines.
And let's give the Democrats a show they'll not soon forget this year.
Publius II
posted by Syd And Vaughn | 5:26 PM
1 Comments:
Amen! I am the president of College Republicans at the Franciscan University of Steubenville and we are working hard for Ken Blackwell and Rick Santorum.
For you older folk out there, contribute to those two campaigns so that they have the resources to mobilize us broke college kids to go out and do the grassroots work!
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