Yes, we know it is not "official" until it is announced, but Thomas has received confirmation that Chief Justice William Rehnquist will be the first of the Supreme Court justices to step down during the Court’s "off-season". (Where does he come up with these terms?) It was rumored for some time, and many legal scholars and judicial experts were kerfuffled by no announcement from the Court in it’s final day. But many people, like Thomas, warned against a premature jump of the gun. He was quick to remind me that Rehnquist is a top-class poker player, and he was not going to reveal his hand yet.
Regardless of how it is done, the vacancy is only going to heat up the fight over the courts in the Senate. Now, we will see what "extraordinary circumstances" really means, and whether the seven Republicans will side with their party, or their ideological enemies. Of course, much of that answer revolves around those that are named as appointees to fill the vacancy.
But, of course, the first question is "who gets Rehnquist’s seat?". The appropriate person, in OUR opinion should be Scalia. And many people we know—personally—agree with that idea. Not only does it make sense, and is completely logical, but it would be the right thing to do. A new appointee assigned that position could cause division within an already ideologically-divided Court already.
So, you promote a sitting associate justice. Thomas pointed out that Justice Thomas is not interested in holding that seat. He does not want it. With the possibility of O’Connor stepping down, she is out of the running automatically. Justice Kennedy is not enough of a moderate for President Bush’s tastes. So, we are left with Justice Scalia. And that does not mean he is a last resort of any sort. Personally, Thomas and I have him at the top of our lists for prospective Chief Justices.
Ironically, we differ on the second choice. It was alluded to by administration officials that Judges Luttig and Roberts will be the nominees President Bush puts up to seat the vacancy. Thomas believes Luttig will get it, and will pass. I contend that Luttig will be too conservative for the Senate Democrats; that is unless they are asleep at the wheel. I believe Roberts will get the call. He clerked for Rehnquist, and has plenty of experience with the High Court. We will see.
This is going to be a painful period for either judge any way you look at it. The Democrats on the Judiciary Committee are going to grill them so hard, they will think they had a body cavity search with a microscope. "We found that gum you swallowed in 1962!" Ted Kennedy will bellow. Okay, maybe that is a bit extreme.
We know their personal views are going to be thrown in their faces. We know they will be questioned on any issue of contention (abortion, religious rights, gay/lesbian rights, etc.) and it will likely be used against them. What needs to happen is that the Republicans in the Senate need to locate their backbones, and stand up for the president’s nominees. This is the cat-bird seat in the Supreme Court. There can be no caving. There can be no "deal." Give them their vote, or else.
Just because seven Republicans agreed to such a foolish deal does not mean the Constitutional Option is off the board. Three of those seven Republicans (DeWine, Warner, and Collins) have said if they deem the "filibuster" unjust, they will side with Frist, and call for the Option’s execution. If those three switch, it could be possible for them to bring back Graham (I cannot trust Snowe, Chafee, or McCain), and even a Democrat or two (possibly Lieberman and/or Salazar).
Point being is that Stage One was just that. We are going back in with at least two new nominees, on the heels of the retirement of one of the most-renowned jurist the Court has seen. He is a fine judge, an excellent Constitutionalist, and an extremely intelligent man. His place on the Court will be filled, but I doubt his shoes ever will be.
Justice Scalia, despite how much Thomas likes the man, will be close, and his shoes will fill out. But I think that Rehnquist will still be the superior in that mental battle of judicial wits. But gear up; the next couple of months might get bumpy. Stay the course, get the job done. Let us do what we can to reinforce the confidence in both nominees to our elected representatives.
Believe me, they will need it. I think I hear the knees knocking already.
The Bunny ;)