On Alito: My Prediction Is Dead ...
Well, not really. The vote hasn't been held yet. But I'm seeing the no votes rack up. Twenty-four Democrats has stated they will oppose Judge Alito's confirmation and ascension to the Supreme Court. At this point, I defer to Sabrina's wisdom.
This is why I predict a straight partisan vote on the committee, and a 67-33 split.
Based on the early information we have, I can admit when I'm wrong.
But, Mary Katharine Ham blogging on Hugh Hewitt's site has posted this interesting tidbit from the WaPo's political blog.
So in order to win the GOP primary, Chafee must not only convince a cavalcade of independents to support him but also take a chunk of traditional Republican votes. With that calculation in mind, one source close to the Chafee campaign said the the senator "can survive a 'yes' [on Alito] vote a lot easier in the general election than he can survive a 'no' vote in the primary election."
So does Chafee vote "yes" in hopes of locking up a primary victory, thus putting his general election chances in doubt? Or does he vote "no" and live with the consequences? We will know soon. The full Senate is expected to vote on the Alito nomination as early as next week.
This is an important observation, and it confirms that Chafee is facing problems in his home state. Will he cross party lines, and vote with the Democrats? We'll see soon enough, but whichever way it goes it won't be good for us or for him. Right now, winning the primary will be his main objective. Should he lose there, we have one the first victory in removing him from the Senate. However, his GOP successor had better be strong enough to fend off the Democrat opponent. If he wins the primary, but faces a tough, uphill battle against his Democrat opponent, he runs the chance of losing.
I want Chafee out of office, and yes I'm willing to roll the dice and take my chances. If a Democrat gets in office, we replaced Chafee with another, more intellectually-honest Chafee. But I'd like to take the chance that a solid conservative can win against him, and against the Democrat contender. Chefee's been a thorn in the party's side for awhile, much like McCain, Specter, Snowe, Graham, Collins, DeWine, and Voinovich; the RINOs in the Senate need to go. These nutters seem to have other ideas regarding how America should be run, how the war should be conducted, and they usually don't mesh with the administration's view.
I hate to tell the RINOs this, but the GOP base is with the president; not with them. You'd think they'd understand that every time these nuts run off the reservation. I'd like to say that chafee's fall is certain, and that a conservative replacing him is guaranteed, but I can't. All we can do is cross our fingers. Hopefully, Chafee has a brain in his head, and doesn't vote against Judge Alito. It's not that the GOP needs his vote. (As it stands right now, there are 53 prospective votes in favor of Alito as Tim Johnson, Democrat Senator from South Dakota has joined Sen. Ben Nelson of Nebraska.) The totals in favor of Alito will only continue to grow.
The Alito confirmation is just another feather in the cap of the president and a nother roaring defeat for the Left. They couldn't gin up enough opposition to him amongst their base or their colleagues to truly oppose him. Their opposition was more child-like than ever, and it clearly showed how unhinged and laughable their party has become.
Publius II
Well, not really. The vote hasn't been held yet. But I'm seeing the no votes rack up. Twenty-four Democrats has stated they will oppose Judge Alito's confirmation and ascension to the Supreme Court. At this point, I defer to Sabrina's wisdom.
This is why I predict a straight partisan vote on the committee, and a 67-33 split.
Based on the early information we have, I can admit when I'm wrong.
But, Mary Katharine Ham blogging on Hugh Hewitt's site has posted this interesting tidbit from the WaPo's political blog.
So in order to win the GOP primary, Chafee must not only convince a cavalcade of independents to support him but also take a chunk of traditional Republican votes. With that calculation in mind, one source close to the Chafee campaign said the the senator "can survive a 'yes' [on Alito] vote a lot easier in the general election than he can survive a 'no' vote in the primary election."
So does Chafee vote "yes" in hopes of locking up a primary victory, thus putting his general election chances in doubt? Or does he vote "no" and live with the consequences? We will know soon. The full Senate is expected to vote on the Alito nomination as early as next week.
This is an important observation, and it confirms that Chafee is facing problems in his home state. Will he cross party lines, and vote with the Democrats? We'll see soon enough, but whichever way it goes it won't be good for us or for him. Right now, winning the primary will be his main objective. Should he lose there, we have one the first victory in removing him from the Senate. However, his GOP successor had better be strong enough to fend off the Democrat opponent. If he wins the primary, but faces a tough, uphill battle against his Democrat opponent, he runs the chance of losing.
I want Chafee out of office, and yes I'm willing to roll the dice and take my chances. If a Democrat gets in office, we replaced Chafee with another, more intellectually-honest Chafee. But I'd like to take the chance that a solid conservative can win against him, and against the Democrat contender. Chefee's been a thorn in the party's side for awhile, much like McCain, Specter, Snowe, Graham, Collins, DeWine, and Voinovich; the RINOs in the Senate need to go. These nutters seem to have other ideas regarding how America should be run, how the war should be conducted, and they usually don't mesh with the administration's view.
I hate to tell the RINOs this, but the GOP base is with the president; not with them. You'd think they'd understand that every time these nuts run off the reservation. I'd like to say that chafee's fall is certain, and that a conservative replacing him is guaranteed, but I can't. All we can do is cross our fingers. Hopefully, Chafee has a brain in his head, and doesn't vote against Judge Alito. It's not that the GOP needs his vote. (As it stands right now, there are 53 prospective votes in favor of Alito as Tim Johnson, Democrat Senator from South Dakota has joined Sen. Ben Nelson of Nebraska.) The totals in favor of Alito will only continue to grow.
The Alito confirmation is just another feather in the cap of the president and a nother roaring defeat for the Left. They couldn't gin up enough opposition to him amongst their base or their colleagues to truly oppose him. Their opposition was more child-like than ever, and it clearly showed how unhinged and laughable their party has become.
Publius II
posted by Syd And Vaughn | 1:28 PM
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